CHAVIS RAYNOR, PhD
FAILURE PATTERN INTELLIGENCE™
I identify the patterns that destroy shareholder value
Most strategic failures follow predictable patterns. Documented across decades of capital allocation research, executives have recorded hundreds of millions in losses that follow identifiable, recurring structural patterns. Business schools teach success frameworks. Consultants apply best practices. Nobody systematically extracted the failure patterns and cross-validated against independent authoritative sources—until now.
When most consultants tell you what could go right, I can tell you what typically goes wrong—and more importantly, what prevents it before capital is deployed.
“Chavis designed and executed an extensive research initiative that included 30-40 in-depth interviews across our facilities in Augusta, Atlanta, and Europe. What impressed me most was his analytical rigor and synthesis capabilities—he took input from diverse functional perspectives and distilled complex organizational data into a clear, actionable strategic framework. His work required navigating a complex, matrix organization and building trust with stakeholders at all levels. Beyond his research and analytical skills, Chavis demonstrated exceptional professionalism, persistence, and adaptability, consistently producing high-quality work. I would not hesitate to recommend Chavis to organizations seeking strategic guidance on organizational assessment or helping leadership teams understand their current state and pathways for transformation.”— Brad Schaufert, MBA
Director of Business Strategy and Program Management
Textron Specialized Vehicles
Background
I started my career as a mechanical engineer, earned a PhD in physics, then spent a decade as a research physicist and academic—publishing in peer-reviewed journals, analyzing complex systems, and developing the scientific methodology that would later become the process behind FPI™.
At Textron Specialized Vehicles, I worked as an internal consultant, conducting comprehensive strategic assessments across multiple facilities in the US and Europe—30-40 stakeholder interviews distilled into actionable strategic frameworks. While at Textron, I discovered How to Lose $100,000,000 and Other Valuable Advice, the under-appreciated memoir of founder Royal Little. Reading it was the first direct exposure to the documented capital allocation failures that sparked FPI™.
The physics training gives me the analytical rigor. The consulting experience gives me the organizational understanding. The combination produced FPI™—a proprietary database of 400+ failure patterns, cross-validated against independent authoritative sources, built to prevent capital destruction before it becomes visible to the people deploying it.
The CEO I work with controls significant capital. He faces decisions that cannot be undone—acquisitions, major capital commitments, debt structures, expansion bets. He is operationally capable and strategically serious. What he does not have is a systematic way to see the failure patterns active in his specific situation before the capital is deployed. That is the gap FPI™ exists to close.
Failure is rarely caused by incompetence. It is caused by structure operating beyond its design limits.
Education
PhD, Physics
Florida A&M University
MS, Entrepreneurship
University of Florida
MS, Physics
Florida A&M University
BS, Mechanical Engineering
North Carolina A&T State University