Creator of FPI™ — FAILURE PATTERN INTELLIGENCE™
For CEOs, CFOs, and Boards of Directors Facing Irreversible Capital Decisions
I identify the failure patterns that destroy capital before it’s deployed—not after.
Same evidence base, same discipline—applied in two directions. One looks backward at a decision whose outcome is already known. One looks forward at a decision whose outcome isn’t known yet.
Understand why a completed decision produced the outcome it did.
You provide materials from a past capital decision that underperformed or failed. I show you exactly which documented patterns were active—and connect them to the outcome you actually got, using your own history as the proof.
Learn AboutIdentify documented failure mechanisms already present in a live decision.
You have a live, active capital decision. We start with a conversation about what you're facing and what's at stake. If it's a fit, you receive a proposal with three options—scaled to your situation, never a single take-it-or-leave-it price.
Learn About“What impressed me most was his analytical rigor and synthesis capabilities—he took input from diverse functional perspectives and distilled complex organizational data into a clear, actionable strategic framework… I would not hesitate to recommend Chavis to organizations seeking strategic guidance on organizational assessment or helping leadership teams understand their current state and pathways for transformation.”— Brad Schaufert, MBA
Most capital allocation frameworks are built from studying what worked—a survivorship-biased record that teaches you what succeeded in someone else’s context and says little about the structural mechanisms that destroy value. FPI™ inverts that. It is built on 500+ documented failure patterns, cross-validated against independent authoritative sources, because the lessons embedded in documented failure are more transferable and more actionable at the moment of a capital decision than the lessons embedded in documented success.
This is the Failure-First Tradition—the discipline Textron founder Royal Little began and FPI™ extends systematically. Read the full position paper →
Causal Failure Analysis & Diagnostics is the underlying science: an open research agenda asking what documented organizational failure can and cannot support as evidence. See the research →